The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE) has significantly revised its economic forecast for 2024, predicting a robust 5.7% growth in the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This marks a sharp upward revision from the CBUAE's previous projection of 4.3%, reflecting optimism about the UAE's economic prospects in the coming year.
The Central Bank attributes its rosier outlook to several key factors. Firstly, the anticipated rise in global oil prices, buoyed by production agreements between OPEC+ member countries, is expected to translate into significant gains for the UAE's oil sector. The CBUAE predicts an oil GDP growth of 8.1% in 2024, a substantial increase from the contraction anticipated for 2023 due to production cuts.
Beyond the oil sector, the UAE's non-oil economy is also expected to experience continued expansion. The CBUAE has upwardly revised its non-oil GDP growth forecast for both 2 023 and 2024. Sectors like financial and insurance services, construction, real estate, wholesale and retail trade are all projected to witness strong growth, underpinning the diversification of the UAE's economy.
This positive economic outlook is likely fueled by a number of developments. The UAE's strategic investments in infrastructure development, coupled with its focus on fostering innovation and entrepreneurship, are creating a dynamic business environment. The country's efforts to position itself as a global hub for trade, tourism, and finance are also contributing to its economic vibrancy.
The Central Bank's revised forecast aligns with the broader optimism surrounding the UAE's economic trajectory. The country's successful hosting of Expo 2020 Dubai has further burnished its reputation as a global center for commerce and innovation. With a number of major infrastructure projects underway and a commitment to economic diversification, the UAE appears well-positioned to sustain its economic growth momentum in the years to come.