Standard Chartered Advocates Equities Over Bonds and Cash for H2 2024

Standard Chartered has revealed a strategic shift in its investment outlook for the second half of 2024, favoring equities over bonds and cash. The bank’s latest financial analysis emphasizes an optimistic stance on equity markets, particularly in the United States, due to robust earnings growth and strong performance in growth sectors such as technology.

The bank’s Chief Investment Office has identified US equities as their top preference, citing the resilience of the technology sector and delayed economic slowdown as key factors driving this decision. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and the potential impact of the upcoming US election, the bank believes that the momentum and earnings growth in the US market present compelling opportunities for investors.

In contrast, Standard Chartered has downgraded its view on Japan’s equities to a neutral position. While improvements in corporate governance and strong balance sheets are positive, the bank notes that deteriorating earnings revisions and potential currency fluctuations could limit future gains. Similarly, Europe ex-UK equities have been upgraded to a neutral position amid an earnings recovery, although the bank warns of possible volatility due to political events, such as the French snap elections.

Asia ex-Japan equities are also seen as a core holding, with a particular emphasis on Indian equities, which are considered overweight. The bank points to India’s high return on equity and rapid economic growth as justifications for this positive outlook. However, Taiwan and Korea’s equities have been trimmed to neutral due to high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties.

The bank remains cautious about the UK and ASEAN equities, maintaining an underweight stance. Despite the UK’s cheap valuations and high dividend yields, Standard Chartered views the region as overly defensive, mirroring its concerns with ASEAN equities.

Standard Chartered’s comprehensive market analysis reflects a nuanced approach to global investment, balancing opportunities and risks across different regions. The bank’s emphasis on US equities highlights its confidence in the potential for continued growth and resilience in the American market, even as it adjusts its outlook for other regions based on evolving economic and political landscapes.

The bank’s decision to prioritize equities aligns with its broader strategy to adapt to shifting market conditions and capitalize on areas with the most promising growth potential. Investors are encouraged to consider these insights as part of their portfolio strategy, especially those looking to navigate the complexities of the current economic environment.
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